Saturday, March 5, 2016

normal distribution - Formula for probability of being epsilon within the mean.



It should be possible to restate that as P(μσΦ1(p+12)Xμ+σΦ1(p+12))=p.



In this answer, it says:




For a normal distribution, the probability of being within Φ1(p+12) standard deviations of the mean is p, where Φ1 is the inverse of the cumulative distribution of a standard normal.





I tried expressing Φ1(p+12) in terms of erf-1, but then again I can't get rid of the error function.



Also taking Φ on both sides would give Φ(p)=(p+1)/2, but a simulation with MATLAB for the case described in the linked question shows it checks out.



(All this provided I interpreted the linked answer correctly.)


Answer



If XN(μ,σ), then Y=XμσN(0,1) and



P[μkσXμ+kσ]=P[kYk].

Can you recognize Φ in the RHS now?


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